PROJECTED REPUBLICAN VOTE (%) IN ELECTION YEARS

By Peter Brimelow

07/20/2000

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Year

Rep %

% of the Voting Age Population

White

Black

Latino

Asian

1988A

53

78.8

10.7

7.4

3.15

Estimates

2000

50.7

74.4

11.3

10.0

4.3

2004

50.3

73.0

11.4

10.8

4.8

2008

49.9

71.6

11.6

11.7

5.1

2012

49.5

70.2

11.7

12.6

5.5

2016

49.1

68.8

11.8

13.5

5.9

2020

48.7

67.3

12.0

14.4

6.3

2024

48.3

65.8

12.1

15.6

6.5

2028

47.8

64.3

12.2

16.6

6.9

2032

47.4

62.8

12.3

17.6

7.3

2036

47.0

61.3

12.4

18.6

7.7

2040

46.5

59.8

12.5

19.7

8.0

2044

46.0

57.8

12.6

20.7

8.9

2048

45.7

56.9

12.7

21.2

9.2

2052

45.3

54.9

12.9

21.6

10.6

Note: Republican share held at 1988 level for each group i.e.: White 59%; Black 12%; Latino 23%; Asian 47%; Assumed voter Participation rate: White 64%; Black 54%; Latino 54%; Asian 54% Source: Based on Census Bureau Population projections

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