By Steve Sailer
01/10/2020
During the rise of Black Lives Matter, the total number of murder victims in the U.S. increased 24.8% from 2014 to 2016. This is not widely known, so I’m putting the data and links in one convenient place.
Here’s a screenshot of the FBI’s latest trend table of the number of murder victims:
With criminal justice “reform” much in the news, it’s important to point out a fact that the prestige press has gone out of its way to not bring to the attention of readers: That the early returns on this Establishment hobbyhorse have been disastrous: after a number of years of stability or decline, the total number of murder victims in the U.S., according to FBI statistics, suddenly shot up 24.8% from 2014 (the Year of Ferguson and Black Lives Matters) to 2016 (Obama’s last stand):
The low point in recent years was 2013, when only 12,253 people were murdered. 2014 was almost as peaceful, with only 12,278 murders. But then the number of murder victims went up by 12.2% in 2015 and another 11.2% in 2016 for a total increase of 24.8%:
| Murder Victims: FBI UCR | Bush | B | B | O | O | O | O | O | BLM 8/14 | O | O | T | T |
| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | |
| Total | 15087 | 14196 | 14224 | 13752 | 13164 | 12795 | 12888 | 12253 | 12278 | 13780 | 15318 | 15195 | 14123 |
| Y to Y Chg | -5.9% | 0.2% | -3.3% | -4.3% | -2.8% | 0.7% | -4.9% | 0.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% | -0.8% | -7.1% | |
| Diff vs. 2014 | 22.9% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | -0.2% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 24.8% | 23.8% | 15.0% |
| Diff vs. 2014 | 2,809 | 1,918 | 1,946 | 1,474 | 886 | 517 | 610 | -25 | 0 | 1,502 | 3,040 | 2,917 | 1,845 |
| Cumulative incremental murders since 2014 | 0 | 1,502 | 4,542 | 7,459 | 9,304 | ||||||||
If the number of homicides had stayed stable at 2014’s 12,278, then by the end of 2018, there would have been 9,304 fewer murders since January 1, 2015. So by early 2020, the total number of incremental murders of the Great Awokening is now up over 10,000.
If, say, half the incremental victims are black, then that number of extra deaths is more than all the lynchings in American history.
And of course, incremental murders have been greatest where Black Lives Matter won its greatest political triumphs, such as in Baltimore, which, although it only represents 0.2% of the country’s population, accounted for 5.0% of America’s incremental murders since 2015, the year of Baltimore’s Freddy Gray riots on April 25, through the end of 2018. From MistyBeach.com:
One complication of counting the number of murder victims is that their numbers tend to rise for a few years, as dead bodies are discovered in shallow graves and violence victims in comas die.
This is a content archive of VDARE.com, which Letitia James forced off of the Internet using lawfare.