trump-white-share

Harris/CAPS Poll: Trump Leading Biden By 4 Points, But What Is His Share Of The White Vote?

James Fulford

04/30/2024

President Joe Biden’s overall approval rating is steady at 44%, while Donald Trump leads the horse race by 4 points. The poll also covers public opinion on foreign policy and the Israel-Hamas war. Download key results here.

”American voters are fundamentally utilitarian,” said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS/Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. “Despite legal and age issues, voters care most about how well Biden and Trump performed as president and on that measure, right now they favor Trump.

APRIL HARVARD CAPS / HARRIS POLL: TRUMP LEADS BIDEN BY 4 POINTS AS IMMIGRATION AND INFLATION REMAIN TOP CONCERNS

The Harvard-CAPS Harris Poll is a monthly research collaboration between the Harvard Center for American Political Studies and the Harris Poll

April 29, 2024

There’s a PDF here with many charts. Here’s a screenshot of page 21

That’s interesting news, but it would be more interesting if they could tell us the race of the voters. They clearly know this. Page 11, on Trump’s approval rating as President has this in detail.

The point is that it’s Trump’s share of the white vote that’s important — if the white vote tips to 60 percent in favor of Trump, it may produce a massive landslide, of the kind Nixon and Reagan achieved.

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