Marriage Gap, One More Time

01/01/2013

From a Democratic group working to get more single women to show up to vote, Voter Participation Center, on the 2012 election:

As more data is available from the exit polling, the extent of the marriage gap–the differences in candidate choice between married and unmarried women–becomes more obvious and undeniable. And as this chart makes clear: the marriage gap transcends all racial, age, income, education and other distinctions. Young or old, rich or poor, white, black or Hispanic, unmarried women voted overwhelmingly in 2012 to reelect President Obama.

2012 Voter Returns: Obama vs. Romney

	Married Women Obama — Romney	Unmarried Women Obama — Romney	Marriage Gap
National	46 — 53	67 — 31	43
Battleground States	46 — 53	65 — 33	39
White women	37 — 62	52 — 46	31
Women of color	78 — 22	91 — 7	28
Latina	67 — 32	85 — 12	38
African-American	95 — 5	97 — 2	5
College-educated	49 — 49	67 — 31	36
Non-college	41 — 58	68 — 31	54
Under 50	47 — 51	71 — 26	49
Under 30	53 — 45	71 — 26	37
Under 30 and white	34 — 63	54 — 43	40
50 and over	38 — 61	51 — 48	26
Seniors	42 — 58	56 — 43	29
$50,000 and over	45 — 54	62 — 36	35
With kids	48 — 51	74 — 24	53
Without kids	43 — 55	64 — 34	42
Union Households	54 — 43	82 — 16	55
Non-Union Households	43 — 55	67 — 30	49

I don’t like how the righthand "Marriage Gap" column is double-counted, although that seems to be the standard way that gaps get talked about. People like double-counting because it makes whatever gap you are worked up over seem too huge to grasp mentally–e.g., the Race Gap in Texas was something like 150 points!

But even if you divide the Marriage Gap figures by two, the way I like, they're still a big deal.

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