Moynihan’s Law of the Canadian Border Reconfirmed for Umpty-umpth Time

By Steve Sailer

06/11/2015

David Leonhardt writes in the New York Times:

When it comes to family arrangements, the United States has a North-South divide. Children growing up across much of the northern part of the country are much more likely to grow up with two parents than children across the South.

It’s not just a red-blue political divide, either. There is a kind of two-parent arc that starts in the West in Utah, runs up through the Dakotas and Minnesota and then down into New England and New Jersey. It encompasses both the conservative Mountain West and the liberal Northeast.

Single-parent families, by contrast, are most common in a Southern arc beginning in Nevada, and extending through New Mexico, Oklahoma and the Deep South before coming up through Appalachia into West Virginia.

The data is taken from the new study with the rather different title and focus:

Red State Families: Better Than We Knew

by W. Bradford Wilcox and Nicholas Zill

When it comes to family, red states have a bad reputation. From the media to the academy, red states have acquired a reputation for talking a conservative game regarding family, but utterly failing to deliver on their old-school aspirations in the real world.

… is the first study that we know of to explore the state-level link between geographic trends in partisan voting and family stability for children in the United States (although earlier research has explored the relationship between partisanship and family trends at the county level).

And the correlation has remained strong. Here’s my February 2013 graph for 2012:

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