07/07/2007
Alexander Mooney writes at CNN:Arizona Sen. John McCain, once the early favorite to win the nomination, reported raising a disappointing $11.2 million in the second quarter with only $2 million cash on hand — $400,000 less than Paul. His campaign said his support of immigration reform legislation hurt his fundraising ability.
The fact that of the 3-4 major GOP candidates, none of them support anything close to the the kinds of immigration policies Americans say they want says a lot about how that party is really run. Right now, I expect Paul may win Iowa, New Hampshire or even both of those contests.
The GOP is also clearly losing the money contest-which is a traditional GOP strength. Of course who would have thought before H-1b expansion, the GOP would loose college educated, white males-their traditional core base?
The question now: who in the GOP will keep fighting even if they are in what appears a hopeless situation? Paul has loyal supporters who are used to fighting battles that are hard to win.
I expect that the eventual nominee will be Fred Thompson — and Mitt Romney or Rudy Giuliani will take the VP slot. However, if that campaign is simply an embarrassment, the Paul forces will gain significant strength in 2012.
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