By Steve Sailer
09/14/2015
How big would a 16% increase in homicides be?
Pretty big.
FiveThirtyEight’s finding that homicides in the 59 biggest cities were up 16% in 2015 through the first anniversary of Ferguson compared to the same time period in 2014 has been put into perspective by a website called Numbers Box:
A 16% Increase in Murders would be UnprecedentedOf course, the odds are that the spike in homicides will be not quite as high for the whole year. But still …In response to recent news articles that cited a few cities worth of evidence to show a surge in crime rates, fivethirtyeight compiled a fantastic set of 2015 data for 60 cities to ask how the murder rate has actually changed. They found the rate has risen by 16%, but oddly used that to argue that reports have been exaggerated. But 16% would be an unprecedented increase.
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