01/30/2008
I’m not good at forecasting elections, but I am confident in my prediction of how it will be spun.If John McCain gets the GOP nomination, he will still lose the Hispanic vote by a large margin.
If he wins, the chattering classes will compare how he well he did among Hispanics compared to the GOP’s performance in the 2006 midterms, proving that the Hispanic vote won him the election.
If he loses, they will compare his low numbers to George Bush’s phony success among Hispanics in 2004. His defeat will be attributed to his toned down his support for open borders and/or the xenophobia of other Republicans.
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