Romney Staggering Again — White Share Stalled At 53%-56% (Except For Gallup)

By Peter Brimelow

10/19/2012

Mitt Romney seems to be staggering again in today’s polls. The RealClear Politics Average, which showed him ahead by one point yesterday, now (Oct. 19) puts Obama infinitesimally ahead, 47.1-47.0. Gallup remains the outlier, still showing a strong Romney lead and a respectable white share — 61% on Oct. 16. This compares to the Congressional GOP’s 60% in 2010. More white share comparisons here — scroll down.

• The most recent Gallup (Oct. 19) shows Romney’s lead down a point, at 51-45. Following its erratic practice, Gallup did not reveal racial breakdowns today.
• IBD/TIPP (Oct. 19) shows Romney trailing Obama by slightly more than yesterday, 44.8-46.5. Romney’s white share is stuck where it was yesterday: 54%.
• The Hartford Courant/ UConn poll, which was released today although concluded on October 16, shows Romney down 45-48. Typical of MSM preoccupations, although this poll gives minute details about gender, religious observance, education etc., it does not publish its racial breakdowns.
• Rasmussen Reports now (Oct. 19) shows Romney back down to a tie with Obama, 48-48.

Rasmussen’s Premium Platinum subscribers learn that Romney’s white share is still stuck at 56%.

In state polls released today, Rasmussen again makes Romney’s failure to motivate northern whites all too clear. In Wisconsin, Romney trails 48-50. Platinum subscribers learn that Romney gets a mere 51% white share in the state.

By contrast, Romney leads in Missouri 54-43. Rasmussen’s Platinum subscribers learn that Romney’s white share in the state is 63%.

Another example: following its amiable habit, the Drudge Report yesterday featured a startling Oct. 18 Susquehanna Polling & Research report that showed Romney ahead of Obama in Pennsylvania 49-45. Incredibly, Susquehanna did not release its racial breakdown. However, an October 10 report by Rasmussen, which found Romney trailing 46-51, told Platinum subscribers that Romney’s white share in Pennsylvania was only 53%.

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