VDARE-white-homicide

White Homicide Rates By County

Steve Sailer

11/05/2022

Here are the 100 counties with the most non-Hispanic white residents ranked in descending order of the homicide victimization rate per 100,000 among whites.

The worst rate is 7.2 in Marion County, Indiana (Indianapolis). Followed by 6.8 in Jackson Co., MO (Kansas City), and 6.7 in Tulsa Co., OK.

An interesting question is what fraction of that 7.2 rate in Indianapolis were killed by other whites? In general, I’d of course say, “Most.” America has got itself pretty well sorted out over the last 60 years since the crime boom of the 1960s that whites don’t get murdered by non-whites very often anymore, unlike before white flight and the very careful gentrification that has followed

I’m guessing that the lower the white fraction of all the homicides in a county, the lower the percentage of whites killed by other whites. In Marion County, IN 18% of homicide victims were white, while in Tulsa, whites made up 39% of the victims in the county. That metric runs from whites being 5% of homicide victims in #59 Cook County (Chicago, 1.9 white homicide rate) to 76% white in #79 Ada (remote Boise, ID, 1.2). Presumably, a large fraction of the white people murdered in the Boise area were murdered by other whites, while that’s less likely true in Cook County.

But it’s hard to estimate the size of these affects. Tulsa could have a higher white murder perpetration rate than Marion, but I can’t tell for sure from the CDC data (from 2018-21).

The top seven white homicide rates are seen in 2020 red states, while 8-10 are in blue states. But only #10 Philadelphia County (4.9 rate and whites are 6% of homicide victims in the county) is deep blue. I’m guessing that a high proportion of white victims in Philadelphia were murdered by blacks or Puerto Ricans.

Trump carried #9 El Paso County, Colorado (Colorado Springs) and came fairly close in #8 Clark NV (Las Vegas).

Putting on my Albion’s Seed goggles, the top of the list looks pretty Scots-Irish to me. E.g., #12 is Davidson County, TN (4.8), i.e., Nashville. (In case you are wondering, I’m looking at the victim’s residence county rather than where the homicide happened.)

Rank County White Homicide Rate White share of homicides
1 Marion County, IN 7.2 18%
2 Jackson County, MO 6.8 17%
3 Tulsa County, OK 6.7 39%
4 Jefferson County, KY 6.2 23%
5 Bexar County, TX 5.8 18%
6 Oklahoma County, OK 5.3 26%
7 Duval County, FL 5.3 19%
8 Clark County, NV 5.0 27%
9 El Paso County, CO 5.0 42%
10 Philadelphia County, PA 4.9 6%
11 San Bernardino County, CA 4.8 17%
12 Davidson County, TN 4.8 20%
13 Franklin County, OH 4.7 24%
14 Harris County, TX 4.5 12%
15 Brevard County, FL 4.2 47%
16 Volusia County, FL 4.2 49%
17 Broward County, FL 4.1 20%
18 Sacramento County, CA 4.0 26%
19 Dallas County, TX 3.7 10%
20 Montgomery County, TX 3.6 55%
21 Pinellas County, FL 3.6 49%
22 Pima County, AZ 3.6 24%
23 Polk County, FL 3.5 34%
24 Tarrant County, TX 3.5 23%
25 Pierce County, WA 3.5 42%
26 Milwaukee County, WI 3.4 10%
27 Cuyahoga County, OH 3.4 12%
28 Multnomah County, OR 3.2 39%
29 Wayne County, MI 3.2 8%
30 Riverside County, CA 3.2 21%
31 Hillsborough County, FL 3.1 25%
32 Baltimore County, MD 3.1 16%
33 Summit County, OH 3.1 26%
34 Maricopa County, AZ 3.1 26%
35 Denver County, CO 3.1 19%
36 St. Louis County, MO 3.0 11%
37 Jefferson County, CO 2.9 58%
38 Orange County, FL 2.9 15%
39 Spokane County, WA 2.8 69%
40 Los Angeles County, CA 2.8 11%
41 Pasco County, FL 2.8 64%
42 Arapahoe County, CO 2.6 28%
43 Salt Lake County, UT 2.6 47%
44 Hamilton County, OH 2.6 14%
45 Snohomish County, WA 2.6 63%
46 Lee County, FL 2.5 33%
47 Travis County, TX 2.4 27%
48 Alameda County, CA 2.4 11%
49 Fulton County, GA 2.4 6%
50 Allegheny County, PA 2.3 21%
51 Santa Clara County, CA 2.2 27%
52 Douglas County, NE 2.2 27%
53 Cobb County, GA 2.1 23%
54 San Diego County, CA 2.0 29%
55 Contra Costa County, CA 2.0 15%
56 Macomb County, MI 1.9 28%
57 King County, WA 1.9 27%
58 Palm Beach County, FL 1.9 16%
59 Cook County, IL 1.9 5%
60 Mecklenburg County, NC 1.9 9%
61 Collin County, TX 1.8 44%
62 Erie County, NY 1.7 17%
63 Kent County, MI 1.7 24%
64 Johnson County, KS 1.6 55%
65 Hartford County, CT 1.6 22%
66 Monroe County, NY 1.6 15%
67 Oakland County, MI 1.6 28%
68 Montgomery County, MD 1.6 23%
69 Denton County, TX 1.5 33%
70 Plymouth County, MA 1.5 53%
71 Lancaster County, PA 1.5 48%
72 Hennepin County, MN 1.4 18%
73 Bristol County, MA 1.3 50%
74 Orange County, CA 1.3 22%
75 Kings County, NY 1.3 9%
76 Queens County, NY 1.2 9%
77 Montgomery County, PA 1.2 35%
78 Will County, IL 1.2 17%
79 Ada County, ID 1.2 76%
80 Bucks County, PA 1.1 50%
81 Suffolk County, NY 1.1 32%
82 Dane County, WI 1.1 41%
83 Wake County, NC 1.1 19%
84 Lake County, IL 1.1 19%
85 New Haven County, CT 1.0 13%
86 Worcester County, MA 1.0 41%
87 Fairfield County, CT 1.0 18%
88 Ocean County, NJ 0.9 51%
89 Middlesex County, MA 0.8 50%
90 Chester County, PA 0.8 42%
91 Utah County, UT 0.8 62%
92 Monmouth County, NJ 0.8 44%
93 Fairfax County, VA 0.7 20%
94 DuPage County, IL 0.7 23%
95 Westchester County, NY 0.7 16%
96 Essex County, MA 0.7 31%
97 New York County, NY 0.7 11%
98 Norfolk County, MA 0.7 40%
99 Nassau County, NY 0.7 23%
100 Bergen County, NJ 0.6 28%

The bottom nine are all in blue states, with #100 being Bergen County, NJ, a nice NYC suburb across the Hudson River from the Bronx at a homicide rate of 0.6.

The bottom of the list appears to tend to be more Catholic and Jewish than the average.

Noteworthy at 0.7 is #97 New York County (i.e., Manhattan). I’ve been lied to by my Law & Order watching!

As I may have mentioned 200 or 300 times before, NYC underwent a highly successful conservative counterrevolution in law enforcement during a period in which the Democratic nominee for mayor lost five straight elections.

The lowest white homicide rate in a populous county in a red state is #91 Utah County (0.8), which is not home to Salt Lake City, but to Provo, site of BYU: i.e., it’s really Mormon.

Among counties with at least 100,000 whites but not enough to make the top 100 and higher homicide rates than Marion, IN, the highest white homicide rate is 16.3 in Schuylkill County, a coal-mining region in central Pennsylvania. Then comes 12.5 in St. Louis City, which I presume is heavily black-on-white. Then 8.7 in Rock Island County, Illinois (Moline on the Mississippi), Lycoming in central Pennsylvania, and Kanawha in West Virginia.

So there is difference approaching an order of magnitude in white homicide victimization rates between the most victimized and least victimized metropolitan whites. In the big picture, that’s not much compared to the order of magnitude difference nationally between blacks and whites. But white Americans naturally think about other white Americans.

Blue Americans think red Americans are maniacs with all their guns and their calls for law and order, while red Americans think blue Americans are insulated and don’t understand the need for law and order.

[Comment at Unz.com]

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