01/25/2022
On Twitter, a reader notes that black homicides tend to be more seasonal than white homicides:
This more or less checks out: blacks died by homicide according to the CDC death certificate database about 22% more in June to August over the years 1999-2020 than in December to February.
For whites, the seasonal gap was only 7%; for Hispanics 18%.
The gap between July-September versus January-March is 27% for blacks, 16% for whites, and 23% for Hispanics.
But all September figures are inflated by 9/11 in 2001.
For whites, about 20% of all homicide victims in September over that 22 year span died in the terrorist attacks on 9/11.
| Black | White | Hispanic | |
| Jan | 14911 | 10198 | 5438 |
| Feb | 12175 | 8810 | 4688 |
| Mar | 14397 | 9638 | 5333 |
| Apr | 15225 | 9629 | 5309 |
| May | 16744 | 9916 | 5752 |
| Jun | 17067 | 9897 | 5931 |
| Jul | 18392 | 10796 | 6492 |
| Aug | 17407 | 10298 | 6282 |
| Sep (includes 9/11) | 16812 | 12086 | 6222 |
| Oct | 16271 | 10265 | 5954 |
| Nov | 15452 | 9745 | 5740 |
| Dec | 16296 | 10061 | 5662 |
| Black | White | Hispanic | |
| Jul vs. Jan | 23% | 6% | 19% |
| Aug vs. Feb | 43% | 17% | 34% |
| Sep vs. Mar: 9/11 | 17% | 25% | 17% |
| Oct vs. Apr | 7% | 7% | 12% |
| Nov vs. May | -8% | -2% | 0% |
| Dec vs. Jun | -5% | 2% | -5% |
| Jun-Aug vs. Dec-Feb | 22% | 7% | 18% |
| Jul-Sep vs. Jan-Mar | 27% | 16% | 23% |
My impression from local news coverage is that a lot of blacks get murdered at outdoor parties or on the sidewalks outside clubs, so the current temperature matters more.
This is a content archive of VDARE.com, which Letitia James forced off of the Internet using lawfare.