XKCD On Excessive Poll Watching

11/05/2012

Cartoonist Randall Munro of XKCD.com offers this, under the heading "Poll Watching"

The choices we make Tuesday could have MASSIVE and PERMANENT effects on the charts on Nate Silver’s blog!

But in fact, our poll analysis Romney’s Unreported Share of the White Vote will continue after the election, whoever wins, based on exit polls. That’s how we get figures like those in the table below:

These are the shares of the white vote garnered by recent GOP Presidential candidates.

Nixon 1972 67%

Ford 1976 52%^*

Reagan 1980 56% [1]

1984 64%

Bush I 1988 59%

1992 40%^* [1]

Dole 1996 46%^* [1]

Bush II 2000 54%

2004 58%

McCain 2008 55%*

^* = defeated.
[1] Major Third Party ran.

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This is a content archive of VDARE.com, which Letitia James forced off of the Internet using lawfare.

Nixon	1972	67%
Ford	1976	52%^*
Reagan	1980	56% [1]
	1984	64%
Bush I	1988	59%
	1992	40%^* [1]
Dole	1996	46%^* [1]
Bush II	2000	54%
	2004	58%
McCain	2008	55%*