Q. Does the Ferguson Effect Exist? A. It Sure Does in Ferguson.

10/06/2016

At the blog People Who Did Not See Mike Brown Being Killed, Mike Sylwester reviews the much pooh-poohed Ferguson Effect of rising violence following BLM activism in, appropriately enough, Ferguson, Missouri:

Crime rates rose significantly in Ferguson during 2014-2015
Crime in the city of Ferguson, Missouri, has risen significantly since police officer Darren Wilson was falsely accused of murdering Michael Brown there in August 2014. Crime in Ferguson — population about 21,0000 — rose significantly more than in other US cities of similar size.

The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) provides the following statistics for crimes that were recorded in US cities with population in the range from 10,000 to 25,000.

… the rates changed little [in small cities nationally] during the three-year period 2013-2015.

… Ferguson fits into the above group of cities — populations 10,000 to 25,000. The FBI provides Ferguson’s statistics, from which I have calculated the rates. You will see in the below list that the rates rise significantly compared to the above list. …

Violent Crimes (per 100,000 residents in Ferguson, MO)

In 2013 … 478 In 2014 … 545 In 2015 … 902

Murders and Non-Negligent Manslaughters In 2013 … 9 In 2014 … 10 In 2015 … 24

Rapes (revised definition) In 2013 … 14 In 2014 … 10 In 2015 … 38

Robberies In 2013 … 256 In 2014 … 242 In 2015 … 389

Aggravated Assaults In 2013 … 199 In 2014 … 284 In 2015 … 451

Property Crimes In 2013 … 5,333 In 2014 … 4,870 In 2015 … 4,772

Ferguson’s big ~~riots with arson and looting~~ Anti-Violence Protests with Diversity Fireworks and Undocumented Shopping occurred in August and November 2014, so the terrible rates of violent crime in Ferguson in 2015 weren’t due to rioting during that year but due to the Ferguson Effect.

[Comment at Unz.com]

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